Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Thomas 49.9% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 57.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 85.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 78.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Toews
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toews
Thomas
Last 8: Toews 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Toews
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
49.0% (910)
+9.0%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
53.5% (142)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
53.3% (75)
-1.6%
On power play, Toews has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Toews
Thomas
Home
59.3% (637)
47.3% (514)
Away
58.7% (699)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Toews
Thomas
P1
61.5%
50.4%
P2
55.2%
47.5%
P3
60.0%
51.4%
OT
70.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |