Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Thomas 44.6% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Toews
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toews
Thomas
Last 5: Toews 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
42.1% (297)
+13.8%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
50.0% (16)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
75.0% (4)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Toews
Thomas
Home
56.6% (709)
40.9% (186)
Away
58.0% (785)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Toews
Thomas
P1
60.4%
43.3%
P2
57.6%
40.6%
P3
54.3%
45.3%
OT
59.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |