Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Colton 49.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 59.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.6%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Toews
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toews
Colton
Last 5: Toews 2-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Toews
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Colton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
47.3% (91)
+15.3%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
71.4% (7)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
0.0% (1)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Toews
Colton
Home
61.1% (455)
46.9% (49)
Away
62.1% (448)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Toews
Colton
P1
59.7%
56.4%
P2
66.7%
47.1%
P3
58.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |