Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Colton 51.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 55.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 54.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Toews
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Toews
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Toews
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
52.7% (524)
+5.3%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
50.9% (53)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
0.0% (4)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Toews
Colton
Home
59.3% (637)
52.9% (291)
Away
58.7% (699)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Toews
Colton
P1
61.5%
50.6%
P2
55.2%
54.4%
P3
60.0%
51.6%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
59.0%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |