Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Hartman 45.5% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Toews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Hartman
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
44.8% (830)
+17.7%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
47.8% (92)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
37.5% (16)
+9.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Toews
Hartman
Home
60.9% (435)
45.0% (515)
Away
62.0% (434)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Toews
Hartman
P1
59.8%
46.5%
P2
65.7%
39.9%
P3
58.8%
48.6%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |