Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 53.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 82.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 70.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Toews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Toews
Hartman
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
6
Toews
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
44.8% (936)
+13.2%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
49.4% (154)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
33.3% (54)
+18.4%
On power play, Toews has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Toews
Hartman
Home
59.3% (637)
47.4% (568)
Away
58.7% (699)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Toews
Hartman
P1
61.5%
47.2%
P2
55.2%
43.4%
P3
60.0%
43.8%
OT
70.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |