Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Hartman 44.0% (+20.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 86.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Toews
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
42.6% (495)
+18.5%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
38.5% (26)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
48.8% (43)
+10.8%
On power play, Toews has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Toews
Hartman
Home
64.8% (560)
43.4% (288)
Away
60.6% (381)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Toews
Hartman
P1
62.3%
43.1%
P2
63.9%
43.4%
P3
62.8%
42.0%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |