Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Poehling 46.2% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 80.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Toews
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Toews
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Toews
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
46.5% (269)
+14.6%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
66.7% (3)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
42.4% (139)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Toews
Poehling
Home
64.8% (560)
45.2% (177)
Away
60.6% (381)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Toews
Poehling
P1
62.3%
47.7%
P2
63.9%
44.4%
P3
62.8%
44.6%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |