Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Toews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Toews
Crosby
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
10
Toews
Crosby
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
1
Toews
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
52.5% (1,443)
+8.6%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
54.7% (369)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
55.9% (34)
+3.7%
On power play, Toews has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Toews
Crosby
Home
64.8% (560)
53.0% (931)
Away
60.6% (381)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Toews
Crosby
P1
62.3%
50.3%
P2
63.9%
55.4%
P3
62.8%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |