Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Crosby 55.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 60.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 63.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Toews
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Toews
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Toews
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
53.7% (984)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
64.7% (241)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
64.3% (14)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Toews
Crosby
Home
60.9% (435)
56.9% (649)
Away
62.0% (434)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Toews
Crosby
P1
59.8%
55.8%
P2
65.7%
53.2%
P3
58.8%
58.7%
OT
80.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |