Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Blueger 52.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 71.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 73.5%
Neutral zone
Blueger 56.2%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Toews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Toews
Blueger
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
3
Toews
Blueger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
53.9% (529)
+4.1%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
50.0% (6)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
50.4% (137)
+1.3%
On power play, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Toews
Blueger
Home
59.3% (637)
54.3% (335)
Away
58.7% (699)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Toews
Blueger
P1
61.5%
50.3%
P2
55.2%
55.2%
P3
60.0%
53.5%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 00:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |