Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Blueger 48.1% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 88.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 53.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Toews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Toews
Blueger
Last 7: Toews 4-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
50.2% (223)
+12.3%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
62.5% (8)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
31.9% (47)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Toews
Blueger
Home
60.9% (435)
50.0% (192)
Away
62.0% (434)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Toews
Blueger
P1
59.8%
46.2%
P2
65.7%
51.5%
P3
58.8%
43.2%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |