Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Jost 42.2% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 63.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 63.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 62.7%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Toews
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Toews
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Toews
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
40.8% (314)
+17.2%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
37.5% (8)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
39.4% (104)
+12.3%
On power play, Toews has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Toews
Jost
Home
59.3% (637)
42.8% (264)
Away
58.7% (699)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Toews
Jost
P1
61.5%
37.4%
P2
55.2%
40.5%
P3
60.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |