Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Jost 40.5% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 74.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 60.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Toews
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Toews
Jost
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
3
Toews
Jost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
5
Toews
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
3
Toews
Jost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
41.0% (2,014)
+16.2%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
34.2% (73)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
35.3% (255)
+18.3%
On power play, Toews has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Toews
Jost
Home
59.7% (9,192)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Toews
Jost
P1
58.6%
38.5%
P2
57.8%
41.2%
P3
57.3%
40.9%
OT
58.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |