Jonathan Toews vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 81.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Toews
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toews
Karlsson
Last 8: Toews 5-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Toews
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
55.3% (897)
+5.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
61.1% (113)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
50.8% (132)
+8.8%
On power play, Toews has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Toews
Karlsson
Home
64.8% (560)
58.6% (560)
Away
60.6% (381)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Toews
Karlsson
P1
62.3%
55.8%
P2
63.9%
55.6%
P3
62.8%
55.7%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |