Jonathan Toews vs William Karlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Toews 60.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone Toews 58.3%
Defensive zone Karlsson 71.3%
Neutral zone Toews 50.7%
Result William Karlsson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Toews Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Toews
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
58.5% (135)
+4.0%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
80.0% (5)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
44.4% (18)
+2.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +20.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Toews
Karlsson
Home
60.9% (435)
63.7% (91)
Away
62.0% (434)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Toews
Karlsson
P1
59.8%
54.4%
P2
65.7%
66.7%
P3
58.8%
51.9%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%
61.0%
61.4%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
57.6%