Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Gourde 41.8% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 85.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Toews
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toews
Gourde
Last 8: Toews 5-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
39.8% (128)
+15.0%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
25.0% (12)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
26.1% (23)
+23.9%
On power play, Toews has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Gourde is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Toews
Gourde
Home
58.7% (784)
43.2% (95)
Away
51.0% (768)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Toews
Gourde
P1
54.0%
43.1%
P2
57.4%
33.3%
P3
52.6%
34.5%
OT
64.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |