Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 91.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Toews
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Toews
Gourde
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Toews
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
49.1% (847)
+12.0%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
79.5% (44)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
39.5% (81)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Toews
Gourde
Home
64.8% (560)
50.1% (491)
Away
60.6% (381)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Toews
Gourde
P1
62.3%
54.7%
P2
63.9%
45.0%
P3
62.8%
49.4%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |