Scouting Report
Jonny Brodzinski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brodzinski wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Roy 47.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 57.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Brodzinski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brodzinski
Roy
Last 6: Brodzinski 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
1
0
Brodzinski
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Brodzinski
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Brodzinski
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (293)
47.5% (617)
+1.3%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
39.6% (53)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.4% (97)
+53.6%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Brodzinski shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Roy
Home
54.2% (144)
47.2% (398)
Away
46.9% (179)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Brodzinski
Roy
P1
49.5%
48.6%
P2
45.5%
48.8%
P3
55.8%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |