Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.7%). Brodzinski wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 48.5% vs Roy 47.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 56.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.3%
Neutral zone
Brodzinski 50.0%
Result
Jonny Brodzinski favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Brodzinski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brodzinski
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Brodzinski
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (156)
48.6% (679)
+0.8%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
48.0% (50)
-19.4%
On power play, Roy has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Brodzinski is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Brodzinski shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Roy
Home
47.4% (78)
49.3% (345)
Away
47.8% (92)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Brodzinski
Roy
P1
43.8%
47.6%
P2
52.8%
47.1%
P3
47.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |