Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 44.5%). Eberle wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 47.5% vs Novak 45.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 72.7%
Defensive zone
Novak 67.8%
Neutral zone
Eberle 54.9%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Eberle
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
43.8% (384)
+0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
58.8% (17)
-14.4%
On power play, Novak has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
36.4% (33)
46.5% (202)
Away
50.0% (44)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
39.1%
49.2%
P2
41.7%
44.2%
P3
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
42.0%▬
41.5%
44.2%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |