Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Eberle wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eberle 43.2% vs Novak 43.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eberle 64.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.8%
Neutral zone
Eberle 50.2%
Result
Jordan Eberle favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Eberle
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eberle
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eberle
1
0
Eberle
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eberle
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (346)
42.1% (1,539)
-0.5%
Power Play
40.4% (57)
51.9% (133)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Novak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Eberle is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Eberle shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Eberle
Novak
Home
39.7% (194)
45.3% (814)
Away
43.3% (217)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Eberle
Novak
P1
43.5%
43.9%
P2
35.3%
42.8%
P3
45.0%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eberle
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jordan Eberle |