Scouting Report
Jordan Martinook holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Martinook wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.4% vs Cates 43.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 59.0%
Defensive zone
Martinook 54.7%
Neutral zone
Martinook 53.9%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Martinook
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Martinook
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,697)
44.1% (2,742)
+2.6%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
43.0% (242)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (406)
34.9% (373)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Martinook has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Martinook is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,393).
Martinook shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Martinook
Cates
Home
46.8% (1,074)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
43.6% (1,092)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Martinook
Cates
P1
44.9%
44.5%
P2
47.6%
43.5%
P3
43.1%
41.2%
OT
36.4%
29.4%
Final 5 min
42.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |