Scouting Report
Jordan Martinook holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 49.4% vs Cates 45.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 71.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 77.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Martinook
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Martinook
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (61)
46.7% (912)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.9% (56)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
35.0% (137)
+9.4%
On power play, Cates has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Martinook is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Martinook shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Martinook
Cates
Home
41.2% (34)
46.1% (521)
Away
55.3% (38)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Martinook
Cates
P1
41.2%
48.0%
P2
54.5%
42.3%
P3
56.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.6%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |