Scouting Report
Jordan Martinook holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Martinook wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.5% vs Cates 43.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 58.8%
Defensive zone
Martinook 52.2%
Neutral zone
Martinook 52.4%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Martinook
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Martinook
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
1
0
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Martinook
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,686)
43.8% (2,596)
+2.9%
Power Play
41.3% (63)
43.8% (224)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (403)
35.2% (364)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Martinook has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Martinook is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Martinook shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,180).
Home / Away
Martinook
Cates
Home
46.8% (1,068)
43.5% (1,590)
Away
43.7% (1,084)
42.1% (1,594)
By Period
Martinook
Cates
P1
45.1%
44.5%
P2
47.7%
43.2%
P3
43.0%
40.9%
OT
38.1%
30.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
48.0%▬
48.0%
45.3%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |