Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Staal 56.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Lizotte
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lizotte
Staal
Last 6: Lizotte 5-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
58.9% (1,041)
-7.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.4% (73)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
49.1% (171)
+1.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Staal
Home
52.5% (326)
59.0% (578)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Lizotte
Staal
P1
51.4%
57.1%
P2
56.3%
60.9%
P3
46.1%
55.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |