Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +26.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-26.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Nazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nazar
Staal
Last 5: Nazar 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Nazar
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
58.9% (1,096)
-22.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
68.4% (57)
-68.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.8% (222)
-51.8%
On power play, Staal has a +68.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nazar is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Nazar shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Nazar
Staal
Home
36.4% (11)
57.0% (646)
Away
27.3% (11)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Nazar
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.9%
P2
37.5%
55.4%
P3
12.5%
62.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
31.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |