Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Staal 47.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 89.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 82.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Carter
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Staal
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
47.6% (552)
+8.6%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
49.1% (110)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
37.8% (111)
-0.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Staal is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Carter
Staal
Home
55.0% (291)
49.8% (400)
Away
54.5% (314)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Carter
Staal
P1
57.2%
53.7%
P2
46.6%
43.9%
P3
58.0%
43.5%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |