Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Staal 55.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Carter
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Carter
Staal
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Carter
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Carter
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
56.3% (1,115)
+3.4%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
61.2% (67)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
52.1% (292)
+1.1%
On power play, Carter has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Carter
Staal
Home
58.7% (455)
58.3% (705)
Away
60.0% (483)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Carter
Staal
P1
61.3%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
58.2%
P3
59.8%
54.1%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |