Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Staal 51.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Toews
Staal
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Toews
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
52.3% (790)
+6.2%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
54.4% (114)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
45.0% (218)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
63.0% (567)
54.9% (628)
Away
55.8% (570)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
59.6%
50.3%
P2
58.2%
52.4%
P3
60.7%
50.4%
OT
52.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |