Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Staal 54.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 55.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Toews
Staal
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Toews
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
5
Toews
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
9
Toews
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
55.3% (1,171)
+0.6%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
56.6% (173)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
42.9% (133)
+5.6%
On power play, Toews has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
61.7% (810)
54.7% (720)
Away
52.3% (734)
54.0% (757)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
56.0%
51.2%
P2
56.9%
57.4%
P3
59.3%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
61.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |