Jordan Staal vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.1% vs Dowling 49.5% (+22.3%)
Offensive zone Dowling 57.6%
Defensive zone Staal 62.6%
Neutral zone Staal 51.3%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Staal Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
33.3% (3)
+23.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +23.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowling
Home
55.4% (518)
100.0% (1)
Away
55.7% (497)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Staal
Dowling
P1
53.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%
54.0%
55.6%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%