Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Dowling 50.7% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 62.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Neutral zone
Dowling 51.7%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Staal
Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
53.3% (30)
+5.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.0% (10)
+3.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Dowling is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowling
Home
59.0% (578)
41.7% (12)
Away
55.9% (707)
57.1% (28)
By Period
Staal
Dowling
P1
57.1%
42.9%
P2
60.9%
60.0%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
72.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%