Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Dowling 48.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 69.9%
Defensive zone
Dowling 72.0%
Neutral zone
Dowling 69.3%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Staal
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Staal
Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
2
Staal
Dowling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
1
Staal
Dowling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
49.4% (652)
+6.6%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
40.6% (32)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
33.3% (9)
+14.8%
On power play, Staal has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowling
Home
56.4% (9,518)
48.2% (301)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Staal
Dowling
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
56.0%
50.4%
P3
55.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |