Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Rooney 45.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Staal
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
42.2% (102)
+14.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
0.0% (2)
+61.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
100.0% (1)
-47.9%
On power play, Staal has a +61.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Rooney is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Staal
Rooney
Home
58.3% (705)
42.0% (69)
Away
53.3% (769)
41.7% (36)
By Period
Staal
Rooney
P1
54.5%
35.7%
P2
58.2%
48.4%
P3
54.1%
43.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |