Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Rooney 46.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Rooney leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 63.3%
Defensive zone
Rooney 61.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 57.6%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Staal
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Staal
Rooney
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
2
Staal
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Rooney
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.7% (2,042)
+9.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
41.7% (48)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.4% (267)
+4.6%
On power play, Staal has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Staal
Rooney
Home
56.4% (9,663)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Staal
Rooney
P1
55.2%
48.1%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
54.9%
43.6%
OT
56.2%
12.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |