Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Couture 45.1% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 80.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 80.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 83.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Staal
Couture
Last 8: Staal 1-7 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
4
Staal
Couture
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Staal
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Staal
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
44.4% (385)
+9.8%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
66.7% (15)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
32.6% (43)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
55.0% (593)
48.5% (293)
Away
54.0% (691)
35.3% (150)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
54.3%
42.6%
P2
53.5%
43.2%
P3
55.2%
45.5%
OT
58.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
37.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |