Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Couture 47.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Couture
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Staal
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.2% (1,083)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
56.7% (60)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
35.4% (206)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
58.3% (705)
49.6% (713)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
54.5%
47.2%
P2
58.2%
45.0%
P3
54.1%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |