Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Couture 48.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 24-23 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Staal
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
23
(47 meetings)
24
23
Staal
Couture
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
7
Staal
Couture
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
5
10
Staal
Couture
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
6
Staal
Couture
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.8% (8,919)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
54.6% (624)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
39.8% (992)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Staal
Couture
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Staal
Couture
P1
55.2%
47.9%
P2
55.9%
47.9%
P3
54.9%
49.2%
OT
56.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |