Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Glendening 51.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 60.6%
Neutral zone
Glendening 53.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Glendening
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
53.5% (404)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
100.0% (4)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
46.8% (141)
-3.8%
On power play, Glendening has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
55.4% (663)
46.9% (241)
Away
54.4% (676)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
55.1%
50.6%
P2
54.7%
51.8%
P3
53.9%
52.9%
OT
70.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |