Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Glendening 56.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 50.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Staal
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
58.6% (703)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
57.9% (19)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
49.7% (159)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
54.3% (667)
54.3% (468)
Away
54.7% (662)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
56.2%
58.2%
P2
57.0%
57.6%
P3
49.7%
56.0%
OT
68.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |