Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Glendening 55.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Staal
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Glendening
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Staal
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Staal
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
58.3% (725)
+0.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
50.0% (8)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
48.4% (215)
+3.4%
On power play, Staal has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Staal
Glendening
Home
57.0% (646)
55.4% (469)
Away
59.1% (729)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Staal
Glendening
P1
55.9%
53.5%
P2
55.4%
57.0%
P3
62.0%
58.0%
OT
70.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
63.1%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |