Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Granlund 49.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Staal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Granlund
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Staal
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
49.5% (588)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
60.5% (43)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
45.2% (93)
-0.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Staal
Granlund
Home
54.3% (667)
54.8% (305)
Away
54.7% (662)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Staal
Granlund
P1
56.2%
43.8%
P2
57.0%
51.2%
P3
49.7%
53.9%
OT
68.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |