Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Granlund 48.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 62.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Staal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Granlund
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Staal
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Staal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
48.7% (446)
+7.4%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
56.6% (99)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
31.1% (61)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Staal
Granlund
Home
55.4% (663)
53.3% (255)
Away
54.4% (676)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Staal
Granlund
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
48.8%
P3
53.9%
44.4%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |