Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
8
Staal
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
63.8% (1,102)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
65.3% (288)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
47.6% (210)
+1.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
59.0% (578)
62.5% (882)
Away
55.9% (707)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
57.1%
62.5%
P2
60.9%
62.7%
P3
55.8%
60.6%
OT
20.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |