Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
14
Staal
Bergeron
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
62.5% (1,109)
-6.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
62.2% (352)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
53.5% (245)
-1.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
58.3% (705)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.3% (769)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
54.5%
60.8%
P2
58.2%
60.3%
P3
54.1%
63.0%
OT
60.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 02:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |