Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Brown 56.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 66.6%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Staal
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Brown
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Staal
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
61.3% (336)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.0% (4)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
45.9% (74)
+3.2%
On power play, Staal has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Staal
Brown
Home
59.0% (578)
61.1% (180)
Away
55.9% (707)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Staal
Brown
P1
57.1%
57.5%
P2
60.9%
58.5%
P3
55.8%
59.2%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |