Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Brown 51.9% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 61.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 60.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Staal
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
52.8% (284)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
75.0% (4)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
49.0% (51)
+3.1%
On power play, Brown has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Staal
Brown
Home
58.3% (705)
53.5% (144)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Staal
Brown
P1
54.5%
49.0%
P2
58.2%
48.7%
P3
54.1%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%