Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Stastny 53.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Staal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Staal
Stastny
Last 8: Staal 1-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Staal
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Staal
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Staal
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
53.2% (995)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
57.6% (158)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
61.4% (57)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
54.7% (720)
55.1% (586)
Away
54.0% (757)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
51.2%
54.7%
P2
57.4%
53.1%
P3
54.6%
54.2%
OT
52.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |