Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Staal
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
57.5% (412)
-1.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
60.0% (65)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.4% (9)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
58.3% (705)
58.3% (276)
Away
53.3% (769)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
54.5%
63.7%
P2
58.2%
57.3%
P3
54.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%